England vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.8%
8.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1950 |
ENG
4 - 2
WAL
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1950 |
NIR
1 - 4
ENG
25%
20%
55%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1950 |
ENG
4 - 2
CAN
92%
6%
3%
|
88 | 10 | 78 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1950 |
ESP
1 - 0
ENG
42%
21%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1950 |
USA
1 - 0
ENG
25%
20%
55%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
YUG
4 - 0
NOR
77%
12%
10%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
AUT
7 - 2
YUG
70%
16%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
DEN
1 - 4
YUG
67%
16%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1950 |
FIN
3 - 2
YUG
35%
21%
43%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1950 |
SWE
1 - 2
YUG
80%
11%
9%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |