England vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
10%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1990 |
ENG
1 - 0
DEN
69%
21%
10%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
ENG
4 - 2
CSK
66%
22%
12%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
ENG
1 - 0
BRA
41%
28%
32%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1989 |
ENG
2 - 1
YUG
58%
23%
19%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1989 |
ENG
0 - 0
ITA
57%
25%
17%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1990 |
NIR
1 - 0
URU
36%
31%
33%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
GER
3 - 3
URU
35%
27%
38%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1990 |
URU
1 - 2
MEX
47%
28%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
URU
2 - 0
CRC
65%
22%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1990 |
URU
2 - 0
COL
67%
21%
11%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |