England vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 2
ENG
34%
25%
41%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ENG
1 - 2
FRA
42%
25%
33%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ENG
3 - 0
SEN
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
WAL
0 - 3
ENG
10%
18%
72%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
ENG
0 - 0
USA
62%
21%
17%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
UKR
0 - 0
SCO
48%
26%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ARM
0 - 5
UKR
17%
24%
60%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
SCO
3 - 0
UKR
30%
27%
43%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
UKR
1 - 1
IRL
52%
26%
22%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
UKR
3 - 0
ARM
71%
19%
11%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |