England vs Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.3%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
14.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
15.8%
3-0
18.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.4%
2-0
18.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.3%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.9%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
6.6%
1.1%
Win probability
0.19
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
SVK
1 - 2
ENG
18%
24%
58%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
ENG
1 - 1
POR
57%
24%
19%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2002 |
ENG
1 - 2
BRA
29%
24%
47%
|
98 | 99 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2002 |
DEN
0 - 3
ENG
25%
25%
50%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2002 |
NGA
0 - 0
ENG
4%
16%
80%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
MKD
1 - 2
TUR
28%
27%
44%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
LIE
1 - 1
MKD
8%
17%
75%
|
75 | 14 | 61 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
MKD
5 - 0
MLT
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
MKD
1 - 0
FIN
28%
26%
47%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
BIH
4 - 4
MKD
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |