England vs Latvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
4.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
ENG
2 - 0
ALB
82%
13%
5%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ENG
5 - 0
IRL
78%
15%
7%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
GRC
0 - 3
ENG
17%
22%
61%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 3
ENG
11%
19%
69%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
ENG
1 - 2
GRC
77%
16%
7%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Latvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
AND
0 - 1
LVA
15%
21%
65%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
LVA
1 - 2
ARM
21%
23%
56%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
MKD
1 - 0
LVA
77%
15%
7%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FRO
1 - 1
LVA
34%
24%
42%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
LVA
0 - 3
MKD
16%
22%
62%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |