England vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2016 |
SVK
0 - 0
ENG
12%
19%
69%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
ENG
2 - 1
WAL
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
ENG
1 - 1
RUS
64%
21%
15%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
ENG
1 - 0
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
ENG
2 - 1
AUS
75%
17%
8%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
ISL
2 - 1
AUT
22%
22%
57%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
ISL
1 - 1
HUN
24%
23%
53%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
ISL
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2016 |
ISL
4 - 0
LIE
84%
13%
3%
|
80 | 30 | 50 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
NOR
3 - 2
ISL
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |