England vs United States analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
FRA
1 - 0
ENG
56%
25%
19%
|
97 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
ENG
2 - 1
SUI
70%
19%
11%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
ENG
2 - 3
CRO
63%
22%
16%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
AUT
0 - 1
ENG
21%
26%
53%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
RUS
2 - 1
ENG
26%
28%
47%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
POL
0 - 3
USA
47%
27%
26%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
USA
2 - 2
MEX
49%
26%
26%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
USA
2 - 0
SWE
47%
26%
27%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
RSA
0 - 1
USA
18%
28%
55%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
SUI
0 - 1
USA
48%
26%
26%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |