England vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
43.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 0
ENG
45%
23%
32%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
HRV
2 - 1
ENG
34%
25%
41%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
SWE
0 - 2
ENG
29%
24%
47%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
COL
1 - 1
ENG
33%
25%
41%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
ENG
0 - 1
BEL
47%
24%
29%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
RUS
77%
15%
9%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2018 |
ESP
2 - 2
MAR
82%
13%
6%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
IRN
0 - 1
ESP
15%
20%
65%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
PRT
3 - 3
ESP
28%
23%
49%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 0
TUN
88%
9%
3%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |