England vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
ITA
1 - 0
ENG
51%
26%
23%
|
97 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
FIN
0 - 0
ENG
17%
25%
58%
|
97 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
ENG
0 - 1
GER
54%
26%
21%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
FRA
1 - 1
ENG
60%
23%
17%
|
97 | 99 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2000 |
ENG
2 - 3
ROU
65%
21%
15%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
ESP
1 - 2
NED
50%
24%
27%
|
97 | 97 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
AUT
1 - 1
ESP
23%
24%
53%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
ESP
2 - 0
ISR
81%
13%
5%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
BIH
1 - 2
ESP
5%
15%
79%
|
97 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
GER
4 - 1
ESP
37%
25%
37%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | -1 |