England vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
18.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1931 |
ENG
3 - 1
WAL
80%
13%
8%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1931 |
NIR
2 - 6
ENG
26%
22%
53%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1931 |
BEL
1 - 4
ENG
36%
22%
42%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1931 |
FRA
5 - 2
ENG
25%
21%
54%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
CRO
2 - 0
ENG
36%
22%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
ESP
1 - 1
IRL
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1931 |
ESP
0 - 0
ITA
59%
20%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1930 |
POR
0 - 1
ESP
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1930 |
ITA
2 - 3
ESP
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1930 |
CSK
2 - 0
ESP
61%
20%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |