England vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
SVN
0 - 0
ENG
11%
20%
69%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ENG
2 - 0
MLT
89%
9%
2%
|
93 | 51 | 42 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SVK
0 - 1
ENG
17%
22%
61%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2016 |
ENG
1 - 2
ISL
82%
13%
5%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2016 |
SVK
0 - 0
ENG
12%
19%
69%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
SVK
3 - 0
SCO
42%
27%
31%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SCO
1 - 1
LTU
71%
20%
9%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MLT
1 - 5
SCO
15%
24%
61%
|
87 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
FRA
3 - 0
SCO
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
SCO
61%
24%
16%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |