England vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
42.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
MKD
1 - 1
ENG
6%
15%
79%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ENG
2 - 0
MLT
90%
8%
2%
|
94 | 50 | 44 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
ENG
3 - 1
ITA
55%
23%
22%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ENG
1 - 0
AUS
71%
18%
11%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
SCT
1 - 3
ENG
12%
20%
68%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARG
56%
23%
22%
|
96 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
BRA
17%
22%
60%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
URY
2 - 0
BRA
16%
21%
63%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
VEN
87%
10%
3%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
PER
0 - 1
BRA
8%
17%
76%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | 0 |