England vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.2%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
ENG
4 - 0
NIR
79%
15%
6%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
ENG
0 - 0
NED
45%
25%
30%
|
97 | 97 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 0
ENG
55%
24%
21%
|
97 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
AZE
0 - 1
ENG
5%
17%
78%
|
97 | 67 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
ENG
2 - 0
WAL
75%
17%
9%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
POL
8 - 0
AZE
90%
8%
2%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
AZE
0 - 0
MDA
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
TTO
2 - 0
AZE
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
TTO
1 - 0
AZE
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
AZE
0 - 0
BGR
13%
23%
63%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |