Netherlands vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
BLR
1 - 3
NED
11%
19%
71%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NED
3 - 1
BGR
80%
14%
6%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
FRA
4 - 0
NED
53%
23%
24%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
NED
5 - 0
LUX
92%
7%
1%
|
92 | 45 | 47 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
NED
5 - 0
CIV
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SWE
8 - 0
LUX
81%
14%
5%
|
89 | 46 | 43 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
BLR
0 - 4
SWE
19%
25%
56%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
BGR
3 - 2
SWE
29%
26%
45%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 1
SWE
26%
27%
47%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
SWE
2 - 1
FRA
29%
26%
45%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |