Netherlands vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
NED
1 - 1
ARG
53%
24%
23%
|
96 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1999 |
POR
0 - 0
NED
25%
26%
49%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
GER
1 - 1
NED
42%
25%
33%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1998 |
NED
0 - 0
GHA
84%
12%
4%
|
96 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
NED
2 - 0
PER
82%
13%
5%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1999 |
FRA
1 - 0
MAR
80%
15%
6%
|
87 | 97 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1998 |
MAR
4 - 1
BGR
39%
28%
33%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1998 |
MAR
1 - 2
SDN
89%
9%
2%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
MAR
1 - 0
UAE
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1998 |
MAR
2 - 0
SEN
70%
21%
10%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |