Netherlands vs Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
14.8%
5.2%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
NED
3 - 0
SCO
74%
18%
8%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
TUN
1 - 1
NED
11%
21%
67%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
NED
3 - 1
SWE
66%
21%
13%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
NOR
0 - 1
NED
20%
24%
56%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
NED
2 - 0
ISL
80%
15%
5%
|
98 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
MKD
1 - 1
MDA
62%
23%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
MNE
2 - 1
MKD
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
ISL
1 - 0
MKD
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
MKD
1 - 2
NED
9%
20%
71%
|
81 | 98 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
MKD
1 - 0
SCO
25%
29%
46%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |