Netherlands vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
39.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
NED
1 - 1
TUR
76%
16%
8%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
NED
6 - 0
LVA
89%
9%
2%
|
94 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
NED
2 - 3
MEX
65%
21%
15%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
ISL
2 - 0
NED
7%
16%
77%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
NED
3 - 1
KAZ
89%
9%
2%
|
95 | 65 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 0
UKR
78%
16%
7%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 1
GER
44%
23%
32%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ESP
3 - 0
BLR
87%
10%
2%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LUX
0 - 4
ESP
4%
12%
85%
|
96 | 44 | 52 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
SVK
2 - 1
ESP
8%
16%
76%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |