Netherlands vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2008 |
NED
3 - 0
UKR
78%
16%
6%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
AUT
3 - 4
NED
16%
24%
61%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
CRO
0 - 3
NED
28%
27%
45%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
BLR
2 - 1
NED
11%
21%
68%
|
97 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
NED
1 - 0
LUX
83%
13%
4%
|
97 | 36 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
DEN
1 - 1
CZE
48%
26%
26%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
SVN
1 - 2
DEN
19%
26%
56%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
DEN
3 - 0
ISL
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
NIR
2 - 1
DEN
19%
26%
55%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
DEN
3 - 1
LVA
83%
13%
4%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |