Netherlands vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
NED
0 - 1
FRA
49%
24%
26%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
NED
4 - 1
BLR
86%
10%
3%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
SWE
1 - 1
NED
25%
24%
50%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
NED
1 - 2
GRC
82%
13%
5%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
AUT
0 - 2
NED
18%
22%
61%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
GIB
0 - 6
BEL
10%
19%
71%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
BEL
4 - 0
BIH
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
CYP
0 - 3
BEL
14%
22%
64%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 2
ESP
26%
24%
50%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
WAL
3 - 1
BEL
17%
22%
61%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | -1 |