Guinea vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
43.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
SEN
1 - 1
GUI
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
GUI
2 - 4
CIV
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
MLI
2 - 1
GUI
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
TUN
1 - 1
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
RWA
1 - 1
GUI
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
TUN
4 - 1
BOT
90%
8%
2%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
TUN
0 - 4
ITA
17%
28%
56%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
TUN
1 - 0
MLI
57%
24%
18%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
TUN
0 - 2
CIV
52%
26%
22%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
TUN
2 - 1
MAR
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |