Guinea vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
MLI
1 - 2
GUI
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
IRN
1 - 2
GUI
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
EGY
4 - 2
GUI
80%
14%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ALG
2 - 2
GUI
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 0
ZIM
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
TOG
2 - 1
COD
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
LBY
2 - 0
TOG
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
TOG
0 - 3
CMR
16%
26%
58%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
EQG
0 - 1
TOG
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CMR
2 - 1
TOG
74%
18%
9%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | +1 |