Guinea vs Mozambique analysis

Guinea Mozambique
75 ELO 62
1.5% Tilt -5.1%
1228º General ELO ranking 2564º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
69.8%
Guinea
18%
Draw
12.1%
Mozambique

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
Guinea
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.1%
Win probability
Mozambique
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guinea
+1%
+8%
Mozambique

ELO progression

Guinea
Mozambique
Uganda
Botswana
Algeria
Somalia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guinea
Guinea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jun. 2024
ALG
Algeria
1 - 2
Guinea
GUI
73%
17%
10%
74 86 12 0
25 Mar. 2024
GUI
Guinea
5 - 1
Bermuda
BMU
79%
14%
7%
74 50 24 0
21 Mar. 2024
GUI
Guinea
6 - 0
Vanuatu
VAN
82%
13%
5%
74 47 27 0
02 Feb. 2024
COD
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
3 - 1
Guinea
GUI
39%
25%
36%
75 73 2 -1
28 Jan. 2024
EQG
Equatorial Guinea
0 - 1
Guinea
GUI
29%
26%
45%
75 70 5 0

Matches

Mozambique
Mozambique
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jun. 2024
MOZ
Mozambique
2 - 1
Somalia
SOM
70%
18%
12%
61 33 28 0
22 Jan. 2024
MOZ
Mozambique
2 - 2
Ghana
GHA
16%
25%
60%
61 81 20 0
19 Jan. 2024
CPV
Cape Verde
3 - 0
Mozambique
MOZ
53%
23%
24%
62 69 7 -1
14 Jan. 2024
EGY
Egypt
2 - 2
Mozambique
MOZ
80%
14%
6%
61 86 25 +1
08 Jan. 2024
BOT
Botswana
1 - 1
Mozambique
MOZ
32%
27%
42%
61 61 0 0