Guinea vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
ALG
1 - 2
GUI
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
GUI
5 - 1
BMU
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
GUI
6 - 0
VAN
82%
13%
5%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
COD
3 - 1
GUI
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
EQG
0 - 1
GUI
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
MOZ
2 - 1
SOM
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
MOZ
2 - 2
GHA
16%
25%
60%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
CPV
3 - 0
MOZ
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
EGY
2 - 2
MOZ
80%
14%
6%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
MOZ
32%
27%
42%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |