Guinea vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
TUN
0 - 0
GUI
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
GUI
3 - 0
ETH
48%
26%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
LBR
1 - 2
GUI
26%
24%
50%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
NIG
1 - 0
GUI
27%
25%
49%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
GUI
2 - 0
NIG
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
ZAM
4 - 2
MOZ
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
CGO
0 - 0
MOZ
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
MOZ
1 - 0
CTA
83%
12%
6%
|
60 | 19 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
BFA
4 - 0
MOZ
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
MOZ
1 - 0
BFA
41%
25%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |