Guinea vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
31%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
40.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
GUI
4 - 0
BOT
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
MWI
1 - 1
GUI
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
GUI
2 - 1
TUN
28%
29%
43%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
SEN
1 - 1
GUI
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
GUI
2 - 4
CIV
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
TUN
55%
26%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
BOT
0 - 1
MAR
7%
22%
71%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
MWI
1 - 1
MAR
25%
30%
45%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2004 |
MLI
0 - 0
MAR
29%
30%
41%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
ARG
16%
24%
61%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |