African Nations Championship 1/32
Global 10-1
Guinea vs Guinea-Bissau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
GNB
1 - 3
GUI
17%
21%
62%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
CIV
2 - 3
GUI
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2017 |
ALG
2 - 1
GUI
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
CMR
1 - 2
GUI
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 2
GAB
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea-Bissau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
GNB
1 - 3
GUI
17%
21%
62%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
GNB
1 - 0
NAM
23%
22%
55%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
RSA
3 - 1
GNB
79%
16%
6%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GNB
0 - 2
BFA
27%
27%
47%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
CMR
2 - 1
GNB
75%
18%
7%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | -1 |