Guinea vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
51.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
ZIM
0 - 1
GUI
31%
27%
43%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 2
CMR
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
CIV
0 - 0
GUI
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
GHA
1 - 1
GUI
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 6
GUI
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
EGY
2 - 0
MOZ
87%
10%
4%
|
89 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2012 |
EGY
3 - 0
TOG
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
EGY
2 - 1
CMR
63%
20%
16%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
LBN
1 - 4
EGY
15%
27%
59%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
IRQ
0 - 0
EGY
28%
29%
44%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |