African WC Qual. 1st and 2nd Round Final
Global 3-0
Guinea vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
NAM
0 - 1
GUI
20%
24%
57%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SEN
3 - 1
GUI
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
SEN
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
GUI
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 2
GUI
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
NAM
0 - 1
GUI
20%
24%
57%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NAM
0 - 0
ZAM
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
ANG
1 - 0
NAM
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
NAM
2 - 1
GAM
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 1
NAM
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |