Guinea vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CMR
1 - 1
GUI
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
CIV
1 - 1
GUI
68%
18%
13%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
SEN
5 - 2
GUI
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 0
UGA
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
TOG
1 - 4
GUI
27%
26%
48%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CIV
1 - 1
MLI
69%
18%
12%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
MLI
1 - 1
CMR
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
MLI
0 - 3
RSA
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
GAB
0 - 2
MLI
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
MLI
2 - 0
ALG
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |