Guinea-Bissau vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
43.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea-Bissau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
SDN
1 - 0
GNB
45%
23%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
GNB
0 - 1
NGA
10%
19%
72%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
EQG
4 - 2
GNB
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CIV
2 - 0
GNB
84%
11%
4%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
MLI
6 - 2
GNB
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
SDN
1 - 0
GNB
45%
23%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
SDN
3 - 0
BGD
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SDN
1 - 0
COD
19%
22%
59%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
SDN
1 - 1
TOG
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
SDN
1 - 0
CHA
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |