Guinea-Bissau vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
49.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea-Bissau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
GUI
0 - 0
GNB
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
GNB
0 - 3
MAR
6%
20%
74%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
5 - 0
GNB
92%
7%
2%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
SDN
2 - 4
GNB
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
GNB
1 - 1
GUI
8%
13%
79%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
SDN
0 - 3
MAR
10%
23%
67%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
GUI
2 - 2
SDN
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
SDN
1 - 1
GUI
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
SDN
2 - 4
GNB
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
SDN
79%
15%
6%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |