African Nations Championship 1/32
Global 1-10
Guinea-Bissau vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
62.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea-Bissau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
GNB
1 - 0
NAM
23%
22%
55%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
RSA
3 - 1
GNB
79%
16%
6%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GNB
0 - 2
BFA
27%
27%
47%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
CMR
2 - 1
GNB
75%
18%
7%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
GAB
1 - 1
GNB
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
CIV
2 - 3
GUI
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2017 |
ALG
2 - 1
GUI
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
CMR
1 - 2
GUI
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 2
GAB
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 2
COD
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |