AFCON Qualifying 1st Round Final
Global 0-2
Guinea-Bissau vs Cameroon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.9%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
+1
5%
18%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.9%
76.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
18.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
18.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
23.7%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
14.7%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea-Bissau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
TOG
1 - 0
GNB
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
GNB
1 - 1
TOG
30%
24%
46%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
GNB
0 - 2
ANG
20%
23%
57%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
KEN
2 - 1
GNB
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
EQG
1 - 4
GNB
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cameroon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
ANG
1 - 1
CMR
21%
27%
53%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
CMR
43%
27%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CMR
3 - 1
SSD
90%
8%
2%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CMR
3 - 1
SDN
72%
19%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
EQG
1 - 1
CMR
6%
17%
78%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |