Guinea-Bissau vs Burundi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea-Bissau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
GNB
1 - 2
BFA
13%
20%
68%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
SLE
3 - 1
GNB
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
GNB
1 - 2
GUI
11%
16%
73%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
GUI
4 - 1
GNB
66%
19%
15%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
GNB
1 - 2
MOZ
19%
20%
61%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
BDI
5 - 0
SYC
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
BDI
0 - 1
CIV
15%
23%
62%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
UGA
1 - 0
BDI
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
BDI
0 - 1
UGA
22%
25%
54%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
SEN
2 - 0
BDI
84%
12%
4%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | -1 |