Guinea-Bissau vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
64.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea-Bissau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
MLI
1 - 0
GNB
83%
13%
5%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
MOZ
2 - 1
GNB
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
GNB
1 - 0
SWZ
43%
24%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
GNB
1 - 1
EGY
8%
17%
75%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
GNB
0 - 0
ETH
27%
23%
50%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
MLI
1 - 0
GNB
83%
13%
5%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
SWZ
0 - 1
MLI
10%
20%
70%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
MLI
1 - 1
MOZ
73%
17%
9%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 0
MLI
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
MLI
1 - 2
GHA
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |