Guadalupe vs Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadalupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
MAF
0 - 3
GLP
6%
13%
81%
|
58 | 9 | 49 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
GLP
2 - 1
DMA
81%
14%
5%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
MTQ
2 - 0
GLP
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
SUR
3 - 2
GLP
22%
23%
55%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
GLP
0 - 0
SUR
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
ABW
3 - 1
BMU
16%
19%
65%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ABW
0 - 2
KNA
13%
19%
67%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ATG
2 - 1
ABW
75%
17%
9%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
ABW
2 - 1
VCT
16%
19%
65%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +3 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
VCT
2 - 0
ABW
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |