Greece vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
GRC
0 - 1
NED
10%
18%
72%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
IRL
0 - 2
GRC
47%
28%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GRC
5 - 0
GIB
86%
11%
3%
|
84 | 42 | 42 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
NED
3 - 0
GRC
84%
11%
4%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
FRA
1 - 0
GRC
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
AUS
2 - 0
NZL
80%
14%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
NZL
1 - 1
COD
36%
26%
39%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
SWE
4 - 1
NZL
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
NZL
2 - 1
CHN
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
NZL
0 - 0
CHN
23%
25%
52%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |