Greece vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
LVA
1 - 2
GRC
19%
27%
55%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 3
GRC
53%
26%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2012 |
GER
4 - 2
GRC
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
GRC
1 - 0
RUS
31%
25%
44%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
GRC
1 - 2
CZE
33%
25%
42%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
LTU
1 - 1
SVK
29%
28%
44%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
MKD
1 - 0
LTU
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
BLR
1 - 1
LTU
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
EST
1 - 0
LTU
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
LVA
5 - 0
LTU
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |