Greece vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
80.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
13%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
POR
1 - 2
GRC
78%
14%
8%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2004 |
LIE
0 - 2
GRC
2%
15%
84%
|
90 | 18 | 72 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
POL
1 - 0
GRC
51%
26%
24%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
NED
4 - 0
GRC
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
GRC
1 - 0
SUI
50%
25%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 0
RUS
84%
12%
5%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ESP
4 - 0
AND
96%
4%
0%
|
98 | 56 | 42 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
37%
27%
36%
|
98 | 98 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 0
DEN
67%
20%
13%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 1
PER
82%
13%
5%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |