WC Qual. CONCACAF Caribe 1st Stage Final
Global 4-5
Grenada vs Barbados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grenada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
BRB
2 - 2
GRD
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1999 |
JAM
2 - 1
GRD
78%
16%
6%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
TTO
7 - 0
GRD
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1999 |
GRD
2 - 1
GLP
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1999 |
VCT
2 - 1
GRD
41%
23%
35%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Barbados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
BRB
2 - 2
GRD
61%
20%
19%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2000 |
BRB
2 - 2
ATG
65%
19%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2000 |
BRB
1 - 0
KNA
65%
18%
16%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1999 |
CYM
4 - 0
BRB
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
BRB
4 - 3
VCT
71%
16%
13%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | +1 |