Ghana vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
GHA
3 - 0
EGY
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
CPV
0 - 1
GHA
25%
27%
48%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MWI
0 - 1
GHA
20%
26%
54%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GHA
2 - 0
MWI
72%
19%
9%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
CHN
1 - 1
GHA
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
TUN
1 - 1
GAB
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
ETH
1 - 1
TUN
17%
25%
58%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
TUN
2 - 1
IRQ
54%
25%
22%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
TUN
1 - 2
SUI
28%
27%
46%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
EGY
0 - 1
TUN
69%
19%
13%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |