Ghana vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
GHA
1 - 2
RSA
42%
28%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
KSA
0 - 0
GHA
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
GHA
0 - 0
SDN
75%
18%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
SWZ
0 - 3
GHA
11%
21%
68%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
RSA
1 - 0
GHA
43%
28%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
TOG
0 - 0
CHA
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
TOG
1 - 2
TUN
18%
26%
56%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 1
TOG
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
KSA
1 - 0
TOG
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2010 |
TOG
1 - 1
MWI
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |