Ghana vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.3%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SDN
0 - 2
GHA
26%
27%
47%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 0
GHA
85%
12%
4%
|
84 | 98 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
GHA
2 - 0
SWZ
78%
16%
6%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
KOR
2 - 1
GHA
61%
24%
16%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
GHA
3 - 1
CGO
69%
20%
11%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NGA
2 - 2
GUI
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
ARG
3 - 1
NGA
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MAD
0 - 2
NGA
5%
19%
76%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ETH
2 - 2
NGA
22%
29%
49%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
NGA
4 - 1
ARG
19%
25%
56%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | +1 |