Ghana vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 0
CGO
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
NAM
0 - 1
GHA
15%
24%
62%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
EGY
2 - 1
GHA
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
GHA
6 - 1
EGY
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
JPN
3 - 1
GHA
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
LBY
2 - 0
ETH
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
LBY
1 - 1
NIG
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CMR
1 - 0
LBY
66%
22%
11%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
JOR
2 - 1
LBY
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
LBY
2 - 0
TOG
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |