Wales vs Liechtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
17.4%
2-0
19.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.6%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
24.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.2%
3.7%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
MKD
1 - 1
WAL
34%
27%
39%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
WAL
3 - 1
KAZ
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
WAL
4 - 1
ISL
52%
25%
24%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 0
WAL
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 0
MNE
65%
22%
13%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
LIE
0 - 2
KAZ
8%
16%
76%
|
29 | 61 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
LIE
0 - 3
MKD
8%
17%
75%
|
29 | 77 | 48 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 3
SMR
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
MLT
2 - 0
LIE
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 0
GIB
21%
18%
61%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |