Wales vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
69.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
WLS
5 - 1
BLR
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
EST
0 - 1
WLS
17%
27%
56%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
CZE
2 - 2
WLS
57%
24%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
WLS
0 - 0
EST
70%
20%
10%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
BLR
2 - 3
WLS
24%
29%
47%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
BEL
3 - 1
EST
93%
6%
1%
|
94 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ITA
2 - 1
BEL
32%
24%
44%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 3
FRA
50%
23%
27%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
BLR
0 - 1
BEL
2%
10%
88%
|
94 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
BEL
3 - 0
CZE
79%
13%
8%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |