Wales U18 vs England U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+101%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1991 |
WAL
1 - 1
BEL
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1989 |
WAL
2 - 0
YUG
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +3 |
| 19 Oct. 1989 |
DDR
1 - 1
WAL
62%
22%
17%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1989 |
BEL
5 - 1
WAL
68%
20%
13%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
WAL
0 - 0
DDR
50%
25%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
England U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1990 |
ENG
0 - 0
BEL
36%
28%
36%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1990 |
ISL
2 - 3
ENG
30%
28%
42%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1989 |
ENG
1 - 0
CSK
36%
28%
36%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 1989 |
FRA
0 - 0
ENG
78%
15%
7%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
CSK
1 - 0
ENG
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |