Gabon vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
47.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
GAB
1 - 1
BDI
53%
26%
22%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
THA
0 - 0
GAB
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
GAB
0 - 0
BOT
57%
26%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
GAB
0 - 0
MLI
23%
25%
52%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
GAB
0 - 1
BEN
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 1
ZAM
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 4
ZIM
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
ZAM
1 - 0
MAD
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NAM
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
RSA
2 - 0
ZAM
49%
28%
24%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |