Gabon vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
GAB
0 - 0
TUN
21%
25%
54%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
CMR
0 - 1
GAB
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
GAB
2 - 0
MOZ
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
TOG
1 - 0
GAB
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
GAB
3 - 1
MAR
25%
29%
45%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CMR
3 - 2
ZAM
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
ZAM
1 - 1
TUN
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
ZAM
4 - 2
KOR
20%
27%
54%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
ZAM
1 - 0
MOZ
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
ZAM
6 - 0
DJI
77%
15%
7%
|
78 | 37 | 41 | 0 |