Gabon vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1983 |
GAB
2 - 3
CGO
42%
23%
35%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1983 |
GAB
0 - 0
NGA
36%
24%
40%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1981 |
GAB
0 - 0
CMR
35%
24%
41%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1981 |
COD
1 - 1
GAB
77%
13%
9%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
ANG
1 - 1
GAB
71%
16%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1984 |
TOG
2 - 1
GHA
25%
23%
53%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
CGO
2 - 0
TOG
58%
20%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1983 |
CIV
1 - 0
TOG
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
CIV
2 - 1
TOG
60%
20%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1983 |
TOG
5 - 2
NGA
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |