Gabon vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
GAB
0 - 1
GAM
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
GAB
2 - 1
UGA
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
GAB
2 - 2
ALG
44%
29%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
SDN
1 - 0
GAB
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
SEN
2 - 1
GAB
63%
21%
15%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
GUI
4 - 1
MAD
81%
14%
5%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MAD
1 - 1
GUI
11%
19%
69%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SEN
3 - 0
GUI
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
BFA
2 - 1
GUI
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
GUI
1 - 0
NGA
32%
29%
39%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |